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Innovation

Anticipatory Action

Anticipatory action is increasingly recognized as an effective tool for addressing crises before they escalate. By taking early, forecast-informed action, organizations can prevent or reduce the severity of emergencies driven by predictable hazards, rather than merely reacting to them once they occur. This shift from reactive to proactive enables more dignified approaches and efficient use of resources, saving lives and livelihoods.

Despite the many benefits of anticipatory action, including its ability to reduce psychosocial stress, food insecurity and asset loss among at-risk communities, its full potential remains untapped in displacement settings. Only one anticipatory action framework addressing displacement was active in 2023.

 

Current models are not yet sufficiently adapted to be scaled up in conflict-affected and fragile settings and there is an absence of strong evidence to make them broadly credible in these contexts. This has kept anticipatory action from informing global policy processes and addressing displacement at scale. DRC is working to change that.  

09 Apr 2025

DRC put spotlight on anticipatory action at HNPW 2025

18 Mar 2025

New reports on anticipatory action pilots

27 Feb 2025

Launch of the Global Displacement Forecast Report 2025

13 Mar 2024

New Report: Displacement is going to increase by more than 6.8 million people in the coming two years

28 Feb 2024

Launch of the Global Displacement Forecast Report 2024

17 Aug 2023

Global Displacement Forecast update shows a significant increase in displacement

13 Mar 2023

New report: Displacement is projected to increase by more than 5.4 million people in the coming two years

28 Feb 2023

Anticipatory action triggered to respond to drought in Somalia

28 Feb 2023

Launch of the Global Displacement Forecast Report 2023

13 Jul 2022

Press release: Global Displacement Forecast 2022 – July Update

Access the models

Slow-Onset Drought-Related Displacement Model

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SPIN: Pastoralist insecurity forecast model

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Anticipatory Humanitarian Action for Displacement (AHEAD) model

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Anticipatory action reports, assessments, evaluations, etc.

Anticipatory action reports, assessments, evaluations, etc.
Anticipatory action reports, assessments, evaluations, etc.

7 file(s)

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Active anticipatory action projects

Funded by

European Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid Operations
European Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid Operations
Danish International Development Agency
Danish International Development Agency
Ministry of Foreign Affairs Netherlands
Ministry of Foreign Affairs Netherlands